Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 65.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 9.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.83%) and 3-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.6%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.