Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.