Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 61.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 15.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.84%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Curacao win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.