Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.