Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for South Korea had a probability of 37.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.18%). The likeliest South Korea win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.