Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for South Korea had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest South Korea win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.