Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Cameroon had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Cameroon win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.