Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Georgia win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.