Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 16.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.