Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Kosovo had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Kosovo win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.