Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Sudan had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Sudan win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.