Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Maldives had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Maldives win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that China would win this match.
