Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Syria win with a probability of 58.43%. A win for Maldives had a probability of 20.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Syria win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 0-1 (7.77%). The likeliest Maldives win was 2-1 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Syria would win this match.