Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.