Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.