Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 59.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
