Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 2nd Leg
May 22, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio do Governo do Estado de Goias (Serra Dourada) (Goiania, Goias)
Cruzeiro

Vila Nova
0 - 3
Cruzeiro


Tiago (19'), Parede (27'), Lira Nogueira (65'), Poveda (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Eduardo (56', 75'), de Jesus Alves (86')
William (27'), Pereira (30'), Eduardo (56')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Vila Nova and Cruzeiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vila Nova

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-0 Vila Nova
Friday, May 2 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Monday, May 19 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Vila Nova had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Vila Nova win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result
Vila NovaDrawCruzeiro
28.52% (-0.199 -0.2)27.9% (-0.11 -0.11)43.58% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 46.08% (0.19 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.55% (0.295 0.3)59.45% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.18% (0.225 0.23)79.82% (-0.229 -0.23)
Vila Nova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.2% (0.0010000000000048 0)36.8% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.41% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.59% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92% (0.301 0.3)27.08% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (0.392 0.39)62.46% (-0.394 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Vila Nova 28.52%
    Cruzeiro 43.58%
    Draw 27.89%
Vila NovaDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-1 @ 6.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.98% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 28.52%
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.97% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 13.02% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.5% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.7% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 43.58%

Head to Head
May 2, 2025 1.30am
Third Round 1st Leg
Cruzeiro
2-0
Vila Nova
Jorge (34', 37')
Romero (6')

Henrique Martins Machado (7'), Poveda (25')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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