Venezuela national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin
Brazil national football team

Venezuela
1 - 1
Brazil

Segovia (46')
Murillo (34'), Romo (59'), Casseres Jr (82'), Segovia (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raphinha (43')
Vanderson (36'), Martinelli (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Venezuela and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for their World Cup qualifying clash away to Venezuela on Thursday.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Paraguay 2-1 Venezuela
Wednesday, October 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina101422
2Colombia10719
3Uruguay10716
4Brazil10616
5Ecuador10216
6Paraguay10013
7Bolivia10-1012
8Venezuela10-211
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Brazil 4-0 Peru
Wednesday, October 16 at 1.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina101422
2Colombia10719
3Uruguay10716
4Brazil10616
5Ecuador10216
6Paraguay10013
7Bolivia10-1012
8Venezuela10-211
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
VenezuelaDrawBrazil
21.36% (-0.642 -0.64)25.98% (-0.486 -0.49)52.66% (1.129 1.13)
Both teams to score 45.02% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39% (1.081 1.08)57.6% (-1.081 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62% (0.849 0.85)78.38% (-0.849 -0.85)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.7% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)42.3% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.31% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)78.69% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.03% (0.94500000000001 0.95)21.97% (-0.944 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.73% (1.411 1.41)55.27% (-1.411 -1.41)
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 21.36%
    Brazil 52.66%
    Draw 25.98%
VenezuelaDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 8% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-1 @ 5.21% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.44% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.13% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 21.36%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 9.29% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-2 @ 3.95% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 14.08% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 10.67% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.129 0.13)
0-3 @ 5.39% (0.229 0.23)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.192 0.19)
0-4 @ 2.04% (0.141 0.14)
2-3 @ 2% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 52.66%

How you voted: Venezuela vs Brazil

Venezuela
16.6%
Draw
13.4%
Brazil
70.1%
157
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
1-1
Venezuela
Magalhaes (50')
Richarlison (56'), Andre (83')
Bello (85')
Herrera (31'), Rincon (33')
Oct 8, 2021 12.30am
Group Stage
Venezuela
1-3
Brazil
Bello (80'), Hernandez (88')
Marquinhos (60')
Jun 13, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Brazil
3-0
Venezuela
Marquinhos (23'), Neymar (64' pen.), Barbosa (89')
Lodi (38'), Barbosa (66')

Manzano (69'), Mago (80')
Nov 14, 2020 12.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
1-0
Venezuela
Jun 19, 2019 1.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
0-0
Venezuela
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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