Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 10.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.31%) and 3-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.15%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 20.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brazil in this match.