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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Jun 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
1 - 0
River Plate

Fernandez (14')
Garcia (45+3'), Colombino (90+11'), Joaquin Hernandez Alvarez (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Galletto (25'), Olivera (90+7'), Corbo (90+12')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Progreso 0-1 Cerro Largo
Tuesday, June 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-3 Racing
Sunday, June 2 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Progreso in this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawRiver Plate
45.61% (0.773 0.77) 25.89% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 28.5% (-0.687 -0.69)
Both teams to score 51.9% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.04% (0.010999999999996 0.01)51.96% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.3% (0.010999999999999 0.01)73.7% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (0.367 0.37)22.74% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58% (0.543 0.54)56.41% (-0.547 -0.55)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (-0.508 -0.51)32.81% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (-0.571 -0.57)69.38% (0.56700000000001 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 45.6%
    River Plate 28.5%
    Draw 25.89%
ProgresoDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.173 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.063 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 45.6%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.31% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 28.5%

Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
River Plate
2-2
Progreso
Lavega (27' pen.), Gonzalez (74')
Moreno (41'), Campos (75'), Barrios (87'), Galletto (90+2'), Irrazabal (90+1')
Silva (7'), Lopez (63' pen.)
Piegas (24'), Poiso (54'), Andrada (67'), Garcia (90+3'), Silva (90+3')
Oct 9, 2021 2.15pm
Gameweek 5
Progreso
1-0
River Plate
Olaizola (2')
Barboza (89')

Brunelli (7'), Bonifazi (44'), Arezo (51'), Rodriguez (74'), Pablo Plada Ricci (90+4')
Jun 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 5
River Plate
4-0
Progreso
Salaberry (24'), Borbas (35'), Bonifazi (38'), Castro (71')
Bonifazi (19'), Ichazo (64'), Boggio (67')

Gallardo (89')
Mar 29, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 15
River Plate
3-2
Progreso
Rodriguez (2'), Gonzalez (45+1'), Alonso (90' pen.)
Salaberry (11'), Rodriguez (40'), Muscarelli (74'), Galletto (88'), Machado Solari (90+1')
Fernandez (81'), Marta (90+3')
Fernandez (20'), Viega (38'), Alejandro Gallardo Gonzalez (39'), Andrada (45+2'), Marta (87'), Andres Sanchez Islas (89')
Oct 10, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Progreso
1-2
River Plate
Viega (62')
Platero (27')
Silva (74')
Gonzalez (45+1'), N. Borbas Silva (85')
Rodriguez (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LiverpoolLiverpool7520145917
2Juventud7421139414
3Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia742184414
4Defensor SportingDefensor741284413
5NacionalNacional7331149512
6Racing de MontevideoRacing731386210
7Cerro Largo724187110
8CerroCerro72326609
9Montevideo City TorqueTorque7223813-58
10Miramar Misiones7214810-27
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers713378-16
12DanubioDanubio706178-16
13Boston RiverBoston River7133811-36
14PenarolPenarol7133610-46
15ProgresoProgreso7133917-86
16River PlateRiver Plate7034712-53


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