Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-0 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.