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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jul 6, 2024 at 2pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Liverpool (Uruguay)

Cerro Largo
1 - 0
Liverpool

Nunez (29')
Rodriguez (38'), Barrios (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Assis (45+4'), Garcia (75'), Gonzalez (90+6')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-4 Nacional
Sunday, June 23 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Boston River
Sunday, June 23 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerro Largo in this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawLiverpool
41.14% (-0.906 -0.91)26.95% (-0.101 -0.1)31.91% (1.01 1.01)
Both teams to score 50.33% (0.683 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.23% (0.695 0.7)54.77% (-0.69 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.92% (0.571 0.57)76.08% (-0.568 -0.57)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (-0.158 -0.16)26.2% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.7% (-0.214 -0.21)61.3% (0.217 0.22)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.2% (1.07 1.07)31.8% (-1.068 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.77% (1.206 1.21)68.23% (-1.203 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 41.14%
    Liverpool 31.91%
    Draw 26.94%
Cerro LargoDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.274 -0.27)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 41.14%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 9.55% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.196 0.2)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.17 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.153 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.124 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.91%

Head to Head
May 12, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 12
Liverpool
2-1
Cerro Largo
Machado (9', 45+1' pen.)
Vergara (31'), Nicola Albanell (61')
Silveira (21' pen.)
Nunez (14'), Ferrares (28'), Cosentino (51'), Castillo (56'), Silveira (58'), Brasil (59')
Coronel (86')
Nov 10, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Liverpool
3-0
Cerro Largo
Rodriguez (5'), Pereira (10'), Vecino (45')
Medina (13'), Meli (50')

Furtado (10'), Brasil (18'), Galletto (41'), Mir (50')
Jun 16, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 2
Cerro Largo
1-3
Liverpool
Max (82')
Rabino (72'), Villar (75'), Brasil (80'), Silveira (88')
Martirena (47', 62'), Bentancourt (73' pen.)
Bentancourt (22'), Lemos (52'), Pereira (72'), Martirena (75')
Mar 31, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 9
Cerro Largo
1-0
Liverpool
Silveira (90+6')
Oct 16, 2022 2.30pm