World Cup header WWW

World Cup

Uruguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Argentina national football team

Uruguay
0 - 1
Argentina


Nandez (64'), Olivera (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Almada (68')
Alvarez (90+1')
Gonzalez (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Argentina attacker Thiago Almada scores a stunning strike to fire his country to a 1-0 victory over Uruguay in World Cup qualifying.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Argentina could line up for Friday's 2026 World Cup qualifier against Uruguay in Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
Last Game: Brazil 1-1 Uruguay
Wednesday, November 20 at 12.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina121425
2Ecuador12722
3Brazil13721
4Uruguay12820
5Paraguay13220
6Colombia13419
7Bolivia12-1413
8Venezuela12-412
9Chile13-129
10Peru12-127

Argentina

All competitions
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Peru
Wednesday, November 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina121425
2Ecuador12722
3Brazil13721
4Uruguay12820
5Paraguay13220
6Colombia13419
7Bolivia12-1413
8Venezuela12-412
9Chile13-129
10Peru12-127

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 1-0 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Argentina in this match.

Result
UruguayDrawArgentina
35.45% (0.884 0.88)28.36% (0.149 0.15)36.19% (-1.032 -1.03)
Both teams to score 46.72% (-0.387 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.43% (-0.498 -0.5)59.57% (0.498 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.09% (-0.384 -0.38)79.9% (0.383 0.38)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (0.321 0.32)31.88% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68% (0.366 0.37)68.32% (-0.366 -0.37)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (-0.89400000000001 -0.89)31.41% (0.895 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (-1.049 -1.05)67.78% (1.049 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 35.45%
    Argentina 36.18%
    Draw 28.35%
UruguayDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 11.44% (0.31 0.31)
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.235 0.24)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.11 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.45%
1-1 @ 13.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.01% (0.185 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 11.59% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-2 @ 6.71% (-0.208 -0.21)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.18%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Argentina

Uruguay
38.8%
Draw
17.7%
Argentina
43.5%
147
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2023 12am
Group Stage
Argentina
0-2
Uruguay

Mac Allister (35'), Martinez (68'), Romero (77'), Palacios (90+2')
Araujo (41'), Nunez (87')
Ugarte (32'), Gimenez (67'), Olivera (79')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Uruguay
0-1
Argentina
Di Maria (7')
> Preview
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Group Stage
Argentina
3-0
Uruguay
Messi (38'), De Paul (44'), Martinez (62')
> Preview
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Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Uruguay
> Preview
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> Match Report
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