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Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 25, 2023 at 11am UK
Estadio do Canelas Gaia Futebol Clube
Maritimo
Canelas 2010
1 - 3
Maritimo
Sousa (90+4')
Samu (45+4'), Simao (45+2'), Chico (74'), Doukoure (75'), Ribeiro (75'), Doukoure (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bica (7'), Xadas (45+3'), Euller (76')
Xadas (36'), Silva (53'), Abedzadeh (60'), Euller (82')
Parente (86')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Canelas 2010 and Maritimo.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Canelas 2010 0-0 Chaves (5-3 pen.)
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Maritimo 4-1 Mortagua
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 77.15%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Canelas 2010 had a probability of 8.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.97%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Canelas 2010 win it was 2-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
Canelas 2010DrawMaritimo
8.61% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 14.23% (0.012 0.01) 77.15% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.79% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.08% (0.040999999999997 0.04)32.92% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.37% (0.045999999999999 0.05)54.63% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Canelas 2010 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.59% (0.088000000000001 0.09)45.41% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.74% (0.068999999999999 0.07)81.26% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.04% (0.0039999999999907 0)6.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.51% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)25.49% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Score Analysis
    Canelas 2010 8.61%
    Maritimo 77.15%
    Draw 14.23%
Canelas 2010DrawMaritimo
2-1 @ 2.62% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
3-2 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 8.61%
1-1 @ 6.65% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 14.23%
0-2 @ 11.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 9.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 6.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 3.54% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 2.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-6 @ 1.57% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-6 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-5 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 77.15%

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14Crystal Palace205692229-721
15Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2055102435-1120
16Brentford1954102631-519
17Everton2082102428-416
18Luton TownLuton1943122337-1415
19Burnley2032152041-2111
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2023151549-349

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