Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Mbombela Stadium
Guinea-Bissau national football team

Eswatini
1 - 1
Guinea-Bissau

Mkhonta (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mane (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Eswatini and Guinea-Bissau, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eswatini

Last Game: Eswatini 0-3 Mozambique
Monday, October 14 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Mali
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 48.7%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
EswatiniDrawGuinea-Bissau
23.13% (0.431 0.43)28.17% (0.396 0.4)48.7% (-0.82400000000001 -0.82)
Both teams to score 41.44% (-0.533 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.72% (-0.90799999999999 -0.91)63.29% (0.912 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.33% (-0.659 -0.66)82.67% (0.661 0.66)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.21% (-0.1 -0.1)43.79% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.05% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)79.95% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (-0.81400000000001 -0.81)26.28% (0.817 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.6% (-1.101 -1.1)61.4% (1.104 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 23.13%
    Guinea-Bissau 48.69%
    Draw 28.16%
EswatiniDrawGuinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.291 0.29)
2-1 @ 5.24% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.92% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 0.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.13%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 11.5% (0.38 0.38)
2-2 @ 3.5% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 15.37% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 10.27% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.58% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 48.69%

How you voted: Eswatini vs Guinea-Bissau

Eswatini
25.0%
Draw
20.8%
Guinea-Bissau
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Guinea-Bissau
1-0
Eswatini
Nogueira (14')
Balde (89')

Dlamini (67')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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