Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.