Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.