Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.82%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 22.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match.
