Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
