Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 45.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 26.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Forfar Athletic win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dumbarton in this match.
