Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
