Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Gil Vicente.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
