World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Nov 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Monumental

Peru
0 - 0
Chile

Corzo (46'), Corzo (46'), Cartagena (66'), Cartagena (66')

Loyola (45+3'), Loyola (45+3'), Vargas (88'), Vargas (88'), Suazo (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Peru and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Brazil 4-0 Peru
Wednesday, October 16 at 1.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	11	13	22
2	Colombia	10	7	19
3	Ecuador	11	6	19
4	Brazil	11	6	17
5	Uruguay	10	7	16
6	Paraguay	11	1	16
7	Venezuela	11	-2	12
8	Bolivia	11	-14	12
9	Peru	10	-11	6
10	Chile	10	-13	5

Chile

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Colombia 4-0 Chile
Tuesday, October 15 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	11	13	22
2	Colombia	10	7	19
3	Ecuador	11	6	19
4	Brazil	11	6	17
5	Uruguay	10	7	16
6	Paraguay	11	1	16
7	Venezuela	11	-2	12
8	Bolivia	11	-14	12
9	Peru	10	-11	6
10	Chile	10	-13	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 39.68%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Chile had a probability of 29.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.01%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.

Result
Peru	Draw	Chile
39.68% ( 0.42)	30.97% ( 0.44)	29.35% ( -0.86)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Peru	Draw	Chile
1-0 @ 15.14% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.68%	0-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.71) 1-1 @ 13.39% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.36% Total : 30.96%	0-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.24% Total : 29.35%