Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 25, 2024 at 11pm UK

Children's Mercy Park

Peru
vs.
Canada

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa America clash between Peru and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Peru 0-0 Chile
Saturday, June 22 at 1am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Canada

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Canada
Friday, June 21 at 1am in Copa America

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	1	2	3
2	Chile	1	0	1
3	Peru	1	0	1
4	Canada	1	-2	0

In these big tournaments, you have to take advantage of the opportunities presented to you, and just as we saw in the 2022 World Cup, Canada have not been able to find that decisive quality against superior opponents. Peru may not possess as much attacking depth as the Canadians, but their rock-solid backline and experienced strikers have proven they can create a magical moment when needed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Canada win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Peru has a probability of 31.2% and a draw has a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Peru win is 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.75%).

Result
Peru	Draw	Canada
31.2% ( 0.29)	26.89% ( -0.07)	41.91% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 50.24% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.24% (

0.38)

54.76% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.93% (

0.31)

76.07% (

-0.32)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.7% (

0.41)

32.3% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.2% (

0.46)

68.8% (

-0.46)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.21% (

0.06)

25.79% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.25% (

0.08)

60.75% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Peru 31.2%

Canada 41.91%

Draw 26.88%

Peru	Draw	Canada
1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.2%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.91%