Paraguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Argentina national football team

Paraguay
2 - 1
Argentina

Sanabria (19'), Alderete (47')
Alderete (33'), Cubas (49'), Pitta (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Martinez (11')
Otamendi (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for their World Cup qualifying clash away to Paraguay on Thursday.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Paraguay 2-1 Venezuela
Wednesday, October 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina101422
2Colombia10719
3Uruguay10716
4Brazil10616
5Ecuador10216
6Paraguay10013
7Bolivia10-1012
8Venezuela10-211
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Argentina 6-0 Bolivia
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina101422
2Colombia10719
3Uruguay10716
4Brazil10616
5Ecuador10216
6Paraguay10013
7Bolivia10-1012
8Venezuela10-211
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.34%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Paraguay win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
ParaguayDrawArgentina
18.97% (-0.175 -0.18)24.58% (1.011 1.01)56.45% (-0.832 -0.83)
Both teams to score 45.5% (-3.127 -3.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.83% (-4.028 -4.03)55.17% (4.033 4.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.59% (-3.422 -3.42)76.41% (3.425 3.43)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.5% (-2.545 -2.54)43.5% (2.549 2.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.29% (-2.193 -2.19)79.71% (2.198 2.2)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (-1.82 -1.82)19.46% (1.824 1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.69% (-3.07 -3.07)51.31% (3.074 3.07)
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 18.97%
    Argentina 56.44%
    Draw 24.57%
ParaguayDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 7.05% (0.599 0.6)
2-1 @ 4.8% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-0 @ 2.93% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.33% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.09% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 18.97%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 8.46% (1.243 1.24)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.404 -0.4)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 13.85% (1.32 1.32)
0-2 @ 11.34% (0.47 0.47)
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.268 -0.27)
0-3 @ 6.19% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.465 -0.47)
0-4 @ 2.53% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.363 -0.36)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.328 -0.33)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 56.44%

How you voted: Paraguay vs Argentina

Paraguay
11.7%
Draw
17.6%
Argentina
70.7%
188
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2023 12am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Paraguay

Alonso (21'), Bareiro (50')
Oct 8, 2021 12am
Group Stage
Paraguay
0-0
Argentina
Villasanti (21'), Alonso (65')
Jun 22, 2021 1am
Nov 13, 2020 12am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-1
Paraguay
De Paul (45'), Montiel (78')
Romero (30'), Cardozo (47'), Perez (76'), Almiron (90+1')
Jun 20, 2019 1.30am
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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