Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 1-0 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.