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New Caledonia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Final
Mar 24, 2025 at 6am UK
Eden Park
New Zealand national football team

New Caledonia
0 - 3
New Zealand


Laurent Waihae Bako (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Boxall (61'), Barbarouses (66'), Just (80')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Final clash between New Caledonia and New Zealand.

Form, Standings, Stats

New Caledonia

Last Game: New Caledonia 3-0 Tahiti
Friday, March 21 at 2.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

New Zealand

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: New Zealand 7-0 Fiji
Friday, March 21 at 6.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for New Caledonia had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest New Caledonia win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.

Result
New CaledoniaDrawNew Zealand
26.61%22.28%51.11%
Both teams to score 62.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.76%37.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.55%59.45%
New Caledonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45%26.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.24%61.76%
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.19%14.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.9%43.09%
Score Analysis
    New Caledonia 26.61%
    New Zealand 51.11%
    Draw 22.28%
New CaledoniaDrawNew Zealand
2-1 @ 6.6%
1-0 @ 5.21%
2-0 @ 3.46%
3-1 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 1.53%
4-1 @ 0.97%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.61%
1-1 @ 9.96%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 3.93%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-1 @ 7.51%
0-2 @ 7.17%
1-3 @ 6.06%
0-3 @ 4.57%
2-3 @ 4.02%
1-4 @ 2.89%
0-4 @ 2.18%
2-4 @ 1.92%
1-5 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 51.11%

Head to Head
Mar 24, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
New Zealand
7-1
New Caledonia
Greive (8', 45+2'), Rogerson (36' pen.), De Jong (75'), Tuiloma (81'), Wood (83', 89')
McCowatt (24')
Saiko (12')
Sansot (39'), Neoere (86'), Waya (90+4')
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