MX23RW : Friday, March 22 02:33:38| >> :600:194922:194922:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Bulgaria national football team
Nations League | League C
Jun 2, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
North Macedonia national football team

Bulgaria
1 - 1
N. Macedonia

Despodov (13')
Milanov (45'), Minchev (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ristovski (50')
Ashkovski (64'), Elmas (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Bulgaria and North Macedonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bulgaria

Last Six:
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Bulgaria
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Georgia vs. Bulgaria
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

North Macedonia

Last Six:
Last Game: N. Macedonia 0-3 Georgia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: N. Macedonia vs. Gibraltar
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Bulgaria 1-2 North Macedonia

 Each of the previous four meetings between Bulgaria and North Macedonia have been closely-fought encounters and another could be on the cards on Thursday. However, considering the visitors have impressed against European giants Italy and Portugal in recent months, we can see them edging this contest in Razgrad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
BulgariaDrawNorth Macedonia
29.78% (-0.032 -0.03) 22.45% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 47.77% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 64.58% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.3% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)35.7% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.23% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)57.77% (0.061 0.06)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)23.68% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.21% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)57.79% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)15.39% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.8% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)44.2% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bulgaria 29.78%
    North Macedonia 47.77%
    Draw 22.45%
BulgariaDrawNorth Macedonia
2-1 @ 7.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 5.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.78%
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 29.78%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.01 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.45%
1-2 @ 9.19% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 6.82% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.38% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.73%
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.98% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 47.77%

How you voted: Bulgaria vs N. Macedonia

Bulgaria
21.0%
Draw
15.4%
North Macedonia
63.6%
162
rhs 2.0
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