Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.