Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.