Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for DC United had a probability of 16.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | DC United |
63.07% | 20.7% | 16.22% |
Both teams to score 51.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.23% | 43.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.84% | 66.16% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.75% | 13.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.98% | 40.03% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.93% | 40.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.28% | 76.72% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | DC United |
2-0 @ 10.84% 1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 6.68% 4-0 @ 3.69% 4-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-2 @ 1.54% 5-0 @ 1.49% 5-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.06% Total : 63.07% | 1-1 @ 9.81% 0-0 @ 5.31% 2-2 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.7% | 0-1 @ 4.85% 1-2 @ 4.49% 0-2 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.38% 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 57 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 49 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 45 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 42 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 36 |
8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 35 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 35 |
10 | Toronto | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 28 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
14 | DC United | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 25 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 57 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 49 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 45 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 42 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 36 |
8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 35 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 35 |
10 | Toronto | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 28 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
14 | DC United | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 25 |