Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 11, 2024 at 2am UK
Soldier Field
Canada national football team

Mexico
0 - 0
Canada


Araujo (18'), Araujo (18'), Huerta (26'), Huerta (26'), Mozo (69'), Mozo (69')
FT

Choiniere (57'), Choiniere (57'), Laryea (65'), Laryea (65'), Sigur (88'), Sigur (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Mexico and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 3-0 New Zealand
Sunday, September 8 at 2am in International Friendlies

Canada

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-2 Canada
Saturday, September 7 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Canada had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MexicoDrawCanada
53% (0.218 0.22)25.33% (0.119 0.12)21.67% (-0.335 -0.33)
Both teams to score 47.17% (-0.743 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.02% (-0.77 -0.77)54.97% (0.77 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.75% (-0.639 -0.64)76.25% (0.639 0.64)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24% (-0.217 -0.22)20.76% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61% (-0.34500000000001 -0.35)53.39% (0.346 0.35)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.53% (-0.773 -0.77)40.47% (0.774 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.92% (-0.707 -0.71)77.08% (0.709 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 52.99%
    Canada 21.67%
    Draw 25.32%
MexicoDrawCanada
1-0 @ 13.2% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 10.38% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.44% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 52.99%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.248 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.4% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 21.67%

How you voted: Mexico vs Canada

Mexico
44.8%
Draw
19.5%
Canada
35.6%
87
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2021 2.05am
Third Round
Canada
2-1
Mexico
Henry (13')
Lozano (14'), Araujo (90+8')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2021 2.40am
Third Round
Mexico
1-1
Canada
> Preview
Jul 30, 2021 3am
Semi-Finals
Mexico
2-1
Canada
Pineda (45+2' pen.), Herrera (90+9')
Gutierrez (68'), Gallardo (79')
Buchanan (57')
Henry (45'), Buchanan (49'), Hoilett (49'), Crepeau (90+12')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2019 3.30am
Group Stage
Mexico
3-1
Canada
Alvarado (40'), Guardado (54', 77')
Cavallini (75')
Kaye (79')
rhs 2.0
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