Los Angeles FC
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 15, 2025 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Los Angeles
4 - 0
Seattle

Under (26', 26'), Ebobisse (51', 51'), Bouanga (80', 80'), Yeboah (86', 86')
Tillman (12'), Tillman (12'), Smoliakov (45+3'), Smoliakov (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Tolo (34'), Tolo (34'), De Rosario (56'), De Rosario (56'), Paulo (84'), Paulo (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's MLS clash between Los Angeles FC and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Last Game: Vancouver 2-2 Los Angeles
Monday, May 12 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
Last Game: Houston 1-3 Seattle
Sunday, May 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSeattle Sounders
45.49% (-1.121 -1.12)25.29% (-0.329 -0.33)29.22% (1.451 1.45)
Both teams to score 54.25% (2.005 2.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.89% (2.172 2.17)49.11% (-2.17 -2.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.82% (1.93 1.93)71.18% (-1.928 -1.93)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (0.40300000000001 0.4)21.59% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (0.613 0.61)54.68% (-0.611 -0.61)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (2.217 2.22)30.81% (-2.214 -2.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (2.53 2.53)67.08% (-2.528 -2.53)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 45.49%
    Seattle Sounders 29.22%
    Draw 25.29%
Los Angeles FCDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.8 -0.8)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.514 -0.51)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.187 0.19)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.611 -0.61)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.305 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.215 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.316 0.32)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.153 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.281 0.28)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.238 0.24)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.163 0.16)
Other @ 3%
Total : 29.22%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Seattle

Los Angeles FC
100%
Draw
0.0%
Seattle Sounders
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2025 9.45pm
Seattle
5-2
Los Angeles
Kossa-Rienzi (11'), Rothrock (57'), Morris (77'), Roldan (84'), Rusnak (90+4', 90+4')
Ordaz (37'), Martinez (90+2')
Burgess (69')
> Preview
Nov 24, 2024 3.30am
MLS Cup Conference Semi-Finals
Los Angeles
1-2
Seattle
Hollingshead (50')
Chanot (42'), Bogusz (77')
Chanot (59' og.), Morris (109')
Gomez Andrade (95'), Paulo (112')
> Preview
Aug 18, 2024 1am
Quarter-Finals
Seattle
0-3
Los Angeles

Roldan (60')
Hollingshead (14'), Kamara (25'), Bouanga (53')
> Preview
Jul 21, 2024 3.30am
Seattle
0-3
Los Angeles

Tolo (14'), Paulo (45+9'), Rothrock (55')
Bouanga (16' pen., 74'), Bogusz (26')
Bogusz (62'), Murillo (85')
> Preview
Feb 24, 2024 9.30pm
Los Angeles
2-1
Seattle
Tillman (45'), Bogusz (55')
Long (72'), Tillman (89')
De la Vega (73' pen.)
Roldan (37'), Tolo (66')
> Preview