World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2025 at 5pm UK

S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas

Lithuania
2 - 2
Finland

Kucys (39'), Gineitis (69')
Girdvainis (15'), Gineitis (70'), Milasius (73')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kairinen (3'), Pohjanpalo (17' pen.)
Tenho (42'), Ivanov (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Lithuania and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

Last Game: Poland 1-0 Lithuania
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Finland

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Malta 0-1 Finland
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Greece	0	0	0
4	Finland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 35.66%. A win for Finland had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Finland
35.66% ( -0.75)	28.85% ( 0.01)	35.48% ( 0.74)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Lithuania	Draw	Finland
1-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.66%	1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.85%	0-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.48%