Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 36.49% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.44%).
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 36.49% ( | 24.6% ( | 38.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% ( | 43.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.79% ( | 66.21% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.3% ( | 23.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.17% ( | 57.83% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% ( | 22.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.02% ( | 55.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 2-0 @ 5.51% ( 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 4-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 36.49% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0-0 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.6% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0-2 @ 5.94% ( 1-3 @ 4.26% ( 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burnley | 35 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 68 | 28 | 40 | 77 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 31 | 25 | 67 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 60 |
| 4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 35 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 58 |
| 5 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 57 |
| 6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 55 |
| 7 | Millwall | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 54 |
| 8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 52 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 51 |
| 10 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 49 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 47 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 45 |
| 14 | Hull City | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 45 |
| 15 | Reading | 35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 44 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 43 |
| 17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 43 |
| 18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 40 |
| 19 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 39 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 39 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 38 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 32 |
| 23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 32 |
| 24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 32 |
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