Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.86%. A draw has a probability of 11.2% and a win for Southampton has a probability of 6.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 3-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.77%) and 3-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (4.85%), while for a Southampton win it is 1-2 (2.13%).