Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Chelsea has a probability of 35.69% and a draw has a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (5.26%) and 0-1 (4.94%). The likeliest Chelsea win is 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.6%).