Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 24.43% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.98%).
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Manchester City |
| 24.43% ( | 23.38% ( | 52.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.65% ( | 44.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.28% ( | 66.72% ( |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.99% ( | 32.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.52% ( | 68.48% ( |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.99% ( | 17.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.87% ( | 47.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 6.26% ( 1-0 @ 6.2% ( 2-0 @ 3.53% ( 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 3-0 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.43% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0-2 @ 8.54% ( 1-3 @ 5.75% ( 0-3 @ 5.05% ( 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 1-4 @ 2.55% ( 0-4 @ 2.24% ( 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 1-5 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 28 | 4 | 4 | 93 | 31 | 62 | 88 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 37 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 83 | 43 | 40 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 69 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 71 | 43 | 28 | 66 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 70 | 50 | 20 | 61 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 58 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 66 | 62 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 56 |
| 10 | Fulham | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 44 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 67 | -30 | 37 |
| 17 | Everton | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 33 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 37 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 32 | 69 | -37 | 24 |
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