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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Stevenage |
45.4% | 26.13% | 28.47% |
Both teams to score 51.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.08% | 52.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.47% | 74.52% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.75% | 23.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.84% | 57.16% |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.65% | 33.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.03% | 69.96% |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 8.25% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.39% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.51% 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 90 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 80 |
3 | Stevenage | 44 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 79 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 75 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 75 |
6 | Salford City | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 69 | 51 | 18 | 72 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 72 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 69 | 53 | 16 | 72 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 58 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 58 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 57 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 57 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 53 |
15 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 52 |
16 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 52 |
17 | Walsall | 44 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 51 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 43 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 51 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 49 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 56 | 66 | -10 | 48 |
21 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 47 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 45 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | 76 | -28 | 39 |
R | Rochdale | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
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