Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Salford City |
| 39.56% | 25.02% | 35.42% |
| Both teams to score 57.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.1% | 45.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.79% | 68.21% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% | 23.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.15% | 56.85% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% | 25.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.99% | 60.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Salford City |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% 1-0 @ 8.54% 2-0 @ 6.27% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.56% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-1 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 71 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 60 |
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 58 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 56 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 54 |
| 7 | Salford City | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 53 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 52 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 50 |
| 10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 48 |
| 11 | BarrowBarrow | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 48 |
| 12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 47 |
| 13 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 46 |
| 14 | Walsall | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 43 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 42 |
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 38 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 37 |
| 19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 35 |
| 20 | Gillingham | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 33 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 31 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 62 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 26 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 27 | 52 | -25 | 22 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
